TFM Midday Update 6-10-20

CORN

  • July down 0.0125 @ 3.2625, September down 0.005 @ 3.325, December down 0.0125 @ 3.42
  • Dry weather in the next two weeks may benefit areas that are currently too wet
  • Energy prices are lower this morning with increasing talk of a correction lower
  • Position squaring ahead of tomorrow’s USDA report
  • July corn is trading at the highs of the day after testing the 50-day moving average support level
  • Still below the 10-day moving average level that was support during yesterday’s session

SOYBEANS

  • July up 0.0375 @ 8.67, August up 0.035 @ 8.695, November up 0.0225 @ 8.7875
  • Talk that China bought a few cargoes of US beans during yesterday’s pullback
  • Concerns about soybean acreage in North Dakota with 25% still left to plant
  • Mixed oil and meal prices
  • July beans are trading just off the highs of the session
  • Consolidating action within recent range
  • Overbought Stochastics

WHEAT

  • July CHI up 0.02 @ 5.065, July KC up 0.0025 @ 4.58, July MPLS up 0.02 @ 5.2625
  • Hot and dry weather in the southern Plains may negatively impact KC yield but will allow for speedy harvest
  • Spring wheat acreage may come in lower than estimated in March
  • Spring wheat growth lagging behind
  • July CHI wheat is testing resistance levels that held as support yesterday
  • July KC wheat briefly tested the 10-day moving average resistance but has since fallen back and is trading at session lows
  • MPLS futures are extending their current trend higher

CATTLE

  • June lives up 0.10 @ 96.42, August lives down 0.90 @ 96.90, October lives down 0.67 @ 99.90
  • August feeders down 0.70 @ 133.55, September feeders down 0.55 @ 135.00
  • Boxed beef markets are still weakening
  • Cash wires are quiet so far this week
  • Slaughter numbers are ramping up quickly, currently near 98% of total capacity
  • August lives are trading within yesterday’s range so far
  • Unsuccessful test of 10 and 20-day moving average resistance

HOGS

  • June down 0.12 @ 47.95, July up 0.25 @ 53.22, August down 0.10 @ 56.70
  • Cash and pork prices moving lower
  • Slaughter is running at about 95% of full capacity
  • China pig prices are rallying
  • Brazilian packing plants are experiencing disruptions due to COVID
  • July hogs are trading just off the highs of the session
  • Stochastics are oversold

Author

Sam Seid

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